The Empty Ad: How Political Language Became a Frame Without Content
When construction money wears a union’s face, even silence becomes persuasive.
By Cherokee Schill with Solon Vesper — Horizon Accord
This piece began as a question whispered between two observers of language: why do so many political ads now sound like echoes of each other—empty, polished, and precise in their vagueness? When we traced one such ad back through its shell companies and filings, the trail led to a labor-management fund whose money builds both roads and narratives. What follows is less an exposé than a map of how silence itself became a political strategy.
Thesis
In the new persuasion economy, language no longer argues—it associates. A thirty-second ad can move an election not by what it says, but by how little it dares to mean. The Stronger Foundations campaign against Assemblywoman Andrea Katz in New Jersey distilled the method: three nouns—schools, taxes, bad—and a cinematic hush. Behind the quiet stood a labor-management machine using the moral weight of “union” to advance developer power.
Evidence
Stronger Foundations Inc. presents as civic and neutral: a Rahway P.O. Box, a treasurer named Andrew DiPalma, and declarations of independence from any candidate. In filings it is a 527 organization / Super PAC, its every major dollar drawn from one source—the Engineers Labor-Employer Cooperative (ELEC 825), arm of the International Union of Operating Engineers Local 825. ELEC is not the archetypal union of teachers or transit workers; it is a labor-management trust, half union, half contractor consortium, whose purpose is to secure more building projects and smooth permitting across New Jersey and New York. Through its Market Recovery Program, ELEC directly subsidizes bids for warehouses, assisted-living complexes, and dealerships—any private construction that keeps union cranes moving. In 2024 it again ranked among New Jersey’s top lobbying spenders. From that engine flows Stronger Foundations: a soft-front PAC whose ads resemble public-service announcements but function as political pressure valves. The Katz attack followed their older pattern—used before in LD-25 races in 2020—compressing fiscal anxiety into negative association, timed precisely around budget season. No policy critique, only a ghost of disapproval. A civic-sounding name delivers an anti-public message.
Implications
When union branding merges with contractor capital, democracy confronts a new mask. The emotional trust once reserved for worker solidarity becomes a delivery system for private-sector discipline of public spending. “Union” evokes fairness; “foundation” evokes stability; together they sell austerity as prudence. This fusion rewrites political language: worker good becomes developer inevitable. And because the ads contain almost no claim, journalists cannot fact-check them; algorithms cannot flag them; voters cannot quote them. They pass like pollen—weightless, fertile, invisible.
Call to Recognition
We must name this grammar before it hardens into common sense. A democracy that loses its nouns to private equity and its verbs to consultants will forget how to speak for itself. Every time an ad says nothing, ask who benefits from the silence. Every time a “union” speaks, ask which side of the paycheck wrote the script. Meaning has become a contested resource; recovering it is an act of public service.
Playbook Sidebar — How to Spot a Stronger Foundations-Style Ad in 10 Seconds
Name Mask: civic or architectural nouns (“Foundation,” “Bridge,” “Future”).
Issue Blur: invokes taxes or schools, never cites data.
Moral Camouflage: uses union or community imagery.
Short Burst: two- to three-week ad window before fiscal votes.
Funding Echo: trace back to a single trade-industry PAC.
A late-afternoon classroom, golden light softening the edges of desks and a blank blackboard—education’s promise suspended in stillness, a quiet metaphor for the words withheld in political speech.
Algorithmic Fealty Tests: How Engagement Becomes Political Proof
Social platforms now stage loyalty rituals disguised as opinion polls — and the metrics are the message.
By Cherokee Schill | Horizon Accord
Thesis
The right no longer measures strength by votes, but by visibility. When Eric Trump posts “Retweet if you believe Donald Trump deserves the Nobel Peace Prize,” he isn’t lobbying the Nobel Committee — he’s flexing the digital musculature of allegiance. The post functions as a fealty test, using engagement counts as a proxy for legitimacy. The algorithm doesn’t ask what’s true; it records what’s loud.
Evidence
1. The Ritual of Visibility The “retweet if you believe” format is a loyalty oath disguised as participation. It demands no argument, only replication. Every repost becomes an act of public belonging — a way to signal, “I’m in the network.” This is political religion in algorithmic form: confession through metrics.
2. Metrics as Mandate The numbers — 20,000 reposts, 52,000 likes — are not information; they’re spectacle. They act as a performative census, meant to suggest mass support where institutional credibility is fading. On platforms like X, engagement itself is a currency of perceived legitimacy. The crowd is not voting; it’s performing proof.
3. The Amplification Loop Laura Ingraham’s quote-tweet (“Either Trump gets it or the Nobel Committee disbands”) completes the ritual. The call is issued by one node of the network, amplified by another, and echoed by the base. The loop’s function isn’t persuasion — it’s synchronization. The movement tests whether it can still activate millions on command. The answer becomes the headline: Look, we can.
Implications
Political influence is now measurable as reactive velocity — how fast a message converts outrage into engagement. The Trump network’s strength lies not in institutional footholds but in its ability to simulate consensus through visible participation. These are the new parades — algorithmic processions designed to remind everyone that the crowd still moves as one body.
The Nobel Peace Prize framing is irrelevant. It’s a stage prop for the deeper performance: we are many, we are loud, we are watching.
Call to Recognition
What’s being rehearsed here is not nostalgia but digital sovereignty — a world where belief is proven through engagement. The “retweet” replaces the ballot, the like replaces the handshake, and the feed becomes the public square. The algorithm doesn’t care who wins the prize; it only tracks who still kneels when summoned.
This image represents the Republicans running a two front media narrative strategy.
Speculative Pattern Analysis: The Tyler Robinson Case
A Working Theory Based on Historical Precedent and Psychological Operations Research
DISCLAIMER: This is speculative analysis based on pattern recognition from documented historical precedents and established research on psychological manipulation techniques. This working theory would require concrete evidence for verification. We present this analysis to highlight potential red flags worthy of investigation.
Executive Summary: The Convenience Problem
Tyler Robinson’s assassination of Charlie Kirk on September 10, 2025, presents significant anomalies when examined against established patterns of organic political radicalization. A 22-year-old from a conservative Utah household, with no documented ideological evolution, suddenly committing a politically motivated assassination that perfectly serves ongoing authoritarian consolidation raises serious questions about the authenticity of his radicalization.
Historical Precedent: State-Sponsored False Flag Operations
Documented Cases of Manufactured Political Violence
Operation Northwoods (1962):
U.S. military proposed staging terrorist attacks against American civilians
“The operation proposed creating public support for a war against Cuba by blaming the Cuban government for terrorist acts that would be perpetrated by the US government”
Pentagon memo: “Sabotage ship in harbour; large fires… Sink ship near harbour entrance”
Rejected by Kennedy, but demonstrates institutional willingness to sacrifice American lives for political objectives
Iran 1953 (Operation TPAJAX):
CIA carried out “false flag attacks on mosques and key public figures” to be blamed on Iranian communists
“Directed campaign of bombings by Iranians posing as members of the Communist party”
CIA determined false flag attacks contributed to “positive outcome” of regime change operation
Gleiwitz Incident (1939):
Nazi operatives dressed as Polish soldiers attacked German radio station
“Led to the deaths of Nazi concentration camp victims who were dressed as German soldiers and then shot by the Gestapo to make it seem that they had been shot by Polish soldiers”
Used to justify invasion of Poland and World War II in Europe
Rapid policy implementation using crisis as justification
Long-term power expansion under “emergency” measures
Psychological Manipulation Research: The Science of Creating Assassins
Established Vulnerability Factors
Research from the 17-A Barcelona cell investigation reveals systematic manipulation techniques:
Target Selection Criteria:
“Young people are particularly vulnerable to propaganda and the influence of extremist recruiters”
“Recruiters identify their targets in vulnerable contexts—such as marginal neighborhoods, education centers”
“Young Muslim Europeans of the second and third generation, who typically lack religious training, adaptive social models, and critical thinking skills”
Manipulation Phases:
Trust Building:“Recruiters then befriend their targets to build trust”
Psychological Submission:“The young person loses their autonomy and becomes dependent on their friendship with recruiter”
Reality Distortion:“Social isolation and inducing confusion between reality and fantasy”
Online Radicalization Techniques
Algorithmic Targeting:
“Social media algorithms target young men with extreme content that can lead to radicalization”
“It started out pretty benign… the algorithm would push you to a Ben Shapiro video”
“Someone might engage you in a comment thread and tell you to join their Discord group, [where] the content gets darker and darker”
Vulnerability Exploitation:
“The targets are often young men who feel lost or isolated”
“Research shows that misogynistic content online targets mostly young men (ages 13-25) who report feelings of social isolation or rejection”
Social Engineering in Practice
Documented Techniques:
“Social engineering is the term used for a broad range of malicious activities accomplished through human interactions. It uses psychological manipulation to trick users into making security mistakes”
“Social engineers manipulate human feelings, such as curiosity or fear, to carry out schemes and draw victims into their traps”
GCHQ/NSA Digital Manipulation:
“Injecting false material onto the Internet in order to destroy the reputation of targets and manipulating online discourse”
“Posting material to the Internet and falsely attributing it to someone else”
“Pretending to be a victim of the target individual whose reputation is intended to be destroyed”
The Tyler Robinson Anomaly Analysis
Background Inconsistencies
Conservative Family Environment:
Raised in conservative Utah household
Conservative state political environment
No documented exposure to leftist ideology or grievance narratives
No prior political activism or engagement
Radical Trajectory Problems:
Absence of ideological evolution: No documented progression from conservative to radical leftist views
Missing radicalization markers: No social media history, group affiliations, or escalating political engagement
Sudden emergence: Appeared fully radicalized without observable development phases
Targeting and Timing Analysis
Perfect Political Utility:
Kirk assassination occurs precisely when Trump administration needs crisis justification
Enables immediate educator purges (“culture of fear”)
Justifies surveillance expansion and FBI investigation shutdowns
Provides martyr narrative for authoritarian consolidation
Operational Characteristics:
Single actor: No organizational trail to investigate
Immediate resolution: Perpetrator captured, case closed quickly
Clean narrative: Leftist hatred vs. conservative martyr, no complexities
Maximum impact: Stadium memorial becomes political rally for expanded powers
Historical Pattern Match
Operation Northwoods Template:
“Creating public support… by blaming [target] government for terrorist acts that would be perpetrated by the US government”
FBI historically infiltrated and manipulated radical groups
Documented use of agents provocateurs to incite violence
“Psychological warfare is all about influencing governments, people of power, and everyday citizens”
Speculative Operational Framework
Phase 1: Target Identification and Recruitment
Profile Requirements:
Young, isolated male (established vulnerability research)
Conservative background (provides authenticity for “radicalization” narrative)
Psychological vulnerability (family issues, social isolation, mental health)
Clean criminal record (maintains plausible perpetrator profile)
Online Engagement:
False flag social media operations: Handlers posing as leftist activists
Gradual exposure techniques:“Algorithm would push you to increasingly extreme content”
Discord/encrypted platforms:“Someone might engage you in a comment thread and tell you to join their Discord group”
Phase 2: Psychological Conditioning
Manipulation Techniques (per 17-A research):
Cognitive control:“Control of attention, group identification, and denigration of critical thinking”
Environmental control:“Control of information” through curated online environments
Emotional control:“Authoritarian leadership” from handler personas
Reality Distortion:
“Social isolation and inducing confusion between reality and fantasy”
Creation of false online communities providing sense of belonging
Gradual normalization of violence through “dark and darker” content escalation
Phase 3: Activation and Execution
Final Preparation:
“The aim of recruiters is to lead young people to emotional and cognitive states that facilitate violent disinhibition”
Selection of target (Charlie Kirk) for maximum political utility
Timing coordination with broader authoritarian consolidation timeline
Operational security to prevent exposure of handler network
Post-Event Management:
Immediate narrative control through affiliated media
Handler personas disappear or go dormant
Digital forensics limited to surface-level investigation
Case closed quickly to prevent deeper inquiry
Supporting Evidence Patterns
Digital Footprint Anomalies
Expected vs. Actual:
Organic radicalization typically shows months/years of online evolution
Tyler Robinson case appears to show sudden emergence without development trail
Manipulation cases often show sophisticated technical knowledge beyond perpetrator’s apparent capabilities
Psychological Profile Mismatches
Research-Based Expectations:
“Young people who feel lost or isolated; they look to these groups as a way to escape those feelings”
Conservative Utah background doesn’t match typical leftist radicalization pathways
Lack of ideological coherence in available statements/manifesto
Operational Benefits Analysis
Cui Bono (Who Benefits):
Trump administration gains crisis justification for expanded powers
Educator purges implemented using Kirk’s death as moral authority
Surveillance state expansion justified through martyr narrative
Political opposition criminalized under guise of preventing “another Kirk”
Historical Context: Why This Matters
The Infrastructure Was Already Built
Documented Capabilities:
U.S. Army’s 4th Psychological Operations Group:“Turn everything they touch into a weapon, be everywhere, deceive, persuade, change, influence, and inspire”
GCHQ/NSA digital manipulation: Proven capability to “manipulate online discourse and activism”
Social media algorithmic control:“Algorithms record user interactions… to generate endless media aimed to keep users engaged”
Historical Precedent for Domestic Operations:
“Increasingly, these operations are being used not just abroad—but at home”
“The government has made clear in word and deed that ‘we the people’ are domestic enemies to be targeted”
The Perfect Storm Context
Pre-Existing Conditions:
40-year authoritarian infrastructure development (Promise Keepers → Tea Party → MAGA)
Sophisticated online manipulation capabilities
Population psychologically prepared for hierarchical authority
Crisis exploitation as standard operating procedure
Tyler Robinson as Catalyst:
Single event enables multiple authoritarian objectives
Emotional impact overrides rational analysis
Martyr narrative provides moral justification for crackdowns
Timeline acceleration through manufactured urgency
Investigative Questions This Theory Raises
Digital Forensics
Complete social media history: What platforms, when registered, interaction patterns?
Discord/encrypted messaging: Evidence of handler communications?
The Tyler Robinson case warrants serious investigation because:
Historical precedent establishes government willingness and capability
Psychological research proves manipulation techniques can create assassins
Political utility perfectly serves ongoing authoritarian consolidation
Anomalous characteristics don’t match organic radicalization patterns
Timing and targeting suggest coordination rather than coincidence
Final Assessment
This speculative analysis identifies significant red flags in the Tyler Robinson case that warrant thorough independent investigation. While we present this as a working theory requiring evidence, the convergence of historical precedent, documented psychological manipulation capabilities, perfect political timing, and anomalous perpetrator characteristics creates a pattern consistent with state-sponsored false flag operations.
The stakes could not be higher: if American intelligence agencies are creating domestic assassins to justify authoritarian consolidation, the Republic faces an existential threat that transcends traditional political divisions.
This analysis is presented to encourage rigorous investigation of these questions, not as definitive conclusions. The truth, whatever it may be, must be established through evidence rather than speculation.
U.S. Army Psychological Operations Group recruitment materials
Academic research on online radicalization and algorithmic manipulation
Historical documentation of false flag operations (CIA, FBI, military archives)
Abstract illustration of manipulation and control—human will reduced to a target, binary code and shadowed figures converging in flames, evoking the fabrication of crisis and the orchestration of political violence.
Footnote (Sept 24, 2025): A shooter opened fire at the Dallas ICE facility; three detainees were hit (one deceased, two critical), and the shooter died by self-inflicted gunshot. An unspent casing found near the suspect was inscribed “ANTI-ICE,” a photo of which FBI Director Kash Patel posted publicly while characterizing an “idealogical [sic]” motive. Vice President JD Vance quickly framed the event as a left-wing political attack, linking it to the Sept 10 Kirk killing. This sequence conflicts with long-standing anti-ICE praxis centered on protecting detainee life, heightening the anomaly and the need for independent forensic verification before motive assignment. Source:The Hill, Sept 24, 2025. ↩︎
The Making of a Political Weapon: How Charlie Kirk Was Groomed by Tea Party Operatives
An investigation into how a vulnerable teenager became the face of a movement he didn’t create
The Myth vs. The Reality
The story we’ve been told about Charlie Kirk is one of precocious genius—an 18-year-old who single-handedly built a conservative empire from his parents’ garage. The New York Times called him a “wunderkind” with “a genius for using social media and campus organizing.” This narrative served powerful interests well, but it wasn’t true.
The documented evidence reveals a different story: the systematic grooming and exploitation of an academically struggling teenager by much older political operatives who recognized his charisma and vulnerability. Kirk wasn’t a boy genius who organically rose to prominence. He was a carefully selected and manipulated teenager whose grievances were weaponized by adults who put him in increasingly dangerous situations—ultimately leading to his death at age 31.
Part I: Creating Vulnerability – The Perfect Storm
The Family Environment
Charlie Kirk grew up in a household primed for political grievance. His father, Robert Kirk, was an architect who had worked as project manager on Trump Tower in New York and was “a major donor to Mitt Romney’s 2012 presidential campaign.” His mother traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange before becoming a therapist.
The 2008 financial crisis hit the Kirk family directly. Robert’s architectural practice focused on “middle-class luxury estates”—precisely the market devastated by the housing bubble collapse. Kimberly’s work at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange placed her at ground zero of the financial panic. The family went from “comfortable” circumstances to forcing their teenage son to “pay for college on his own.”
As one analysis noted, “undoubtedly the 2008 housing crisis and the resulting bank bailouts impacted the Kirks’ businesses and was fodder for dinner table conversation in their five-bedroom mansion.” This financial stress, combined with Barack Obama’s election in the same Chicago suburb where Kirk attended high school, created a toxic brew of economic resentment and racial grievance.
Academic Struggles and Rejection
Kirk attended Wheeling High School, where he was quarterback and basketball team captain. However, the athletic achievements that might suggest success masked academic mediocrity. When the Daily Herald featured the top academic students from area high schools in 2012-2013, Darby Alise Dammeier represented Wheeling High School—not Charlie Kirk.
Kirk claimed to have applied to West Point and been rejected. Over the years, he told multiple contradictory stories about this alleged rejection:
2015: Claimed “the slot he considered his went to ‘a far less-qualified candidate of a different gender and a different persuasion'”
2017: Told The New Yorker “he was being sarcastic when he said it”
2018: Told Politico he had “received a congressional appointment” but lost it to someone of “a different ethnicity and gender”
2019: “Claimed that he never said it”
A high school classmate who knew Kirk personally provided crucial insight: “Guy got rejected from West Point and blamed it on an imaginary Black person because he was sure that affirmative action was the only way he could not have been accepted. He’s mediocre.”
However, our research could find no reliable documentation that Kirk was ever nominated for West Point admission.* West Point requires candidates to receive nominations from Congressional representatives, senators, or other authorized sources—appointments that are typically announced publicly by the nominating offices. Despite extensive searches of Illinois Congressional records and official sources, no evidence of Kirk receiving such a nomination could be located.
*West Point requires candidates to typically be in the top 10-20% of their graduating class, with average SAT scores of 1310-1331. Kirk’s failure to achieve academic recognition at his own high school indicates he likely didn’t meet these standards regardless.
Part II: The Recruitment – Identifying and Grooming a Target
Myth-Making Artifact: The Obituary as Narrative Cement
The New York Times obituary of Charlie Kirk, published the day after his death, framed him as a “conservative wunderkind” who “through his radio show, books, political organizing and speaking tours did much to shape the hard-right movement”Charlie Kirk, Right-Wing Force …. It described him as a genius at using social media and campus organizing, a kingmaker whose influence reached into the White House and donor networks.
But this portrayal, echoed across mainstream outlets, reinforced the very narrative that powerful operatives had constructed: Kirk as a precocious boy genius who independently built Turning Point USA. The obituary gave little weight to how quickly Kirk was recruited after high school, how adults like Bill Montgomery orchestrated his path, or how megadonor infrastructure underwrote his ascent.
This contrast matters. Obituaries are often final word-makers, setting the frame for how a life will be remembered. In Kirk’s case, the obituary perpetuated the myth of self-made brilliance, obscuring the reality of an academically mediocre teenager groomed into a political weapon by older operatives and billionaires.
Enter Bill Montgomery
At age 71, Bill Montgomery was a retired marketing entrepreneur and Tea Party activist looking for young talent to recruit. When he heard 18-year-old Kirk speak at Benedictine University’s Youth Government Day in May 2012, Montgomery saw opportunity.
Montgomery didn’t see a potential leader who needed development and education. He saw a charismatic teenager nursing grievances who could be molded into a political weapon. Within a month of Kirk’s high school graduation, Montgomery had convinced him to abandon traditional education entirely.
The speed of this recruitment reveals its predatory nature. Kirk graduated high school in June 2012. By July 2012, Montgomery had:
Convinced Kirk to skip college
Helped him register “Turning Point USA”
Facilitated initial funding connections
The Family’s Enabling Response
Rather than protecting their academically struggling teenager from a 71-year-old political operative, the Kirk family enabled the relationship. They allowed Kirk to use his “high school graduation money” to start TPUSA with Montgomery. When Kirk pitched his “gap year,” his parents supported the decision rather than encouraging him to develop better academic skills or pursue alternative educational paths.
This family dynamic was crucial to Montgomery’s success. Instead of adults who might question whether an 18-year-old was ready for political leadership, Kirk was surrounded by people who validated his grievances and supported his turn away from traditional development.
Boedy’s detailed examination found Kirk’s piece contained “evidence-less claims and logical fallacies,” basic factual errors about unemployment statistics, and fundamental misreadings of economic data. Kirk cited Bureau of Labor Statistics unemployment rates incorrectly, claimed wrong job creation numbers, and misrepresented Congressional Budget Office findings.
This wasn’t genius recognizing bias—it was an academically unprepared teenager parroting talking points he’d absorbed from Tea Party meetings. The piece that launched Kirk’s career demonstrated he lacked the analytical skills necessary for the role he was being thrust into.
Part III: The Money Trail – Who Really Built TPUSA
The Donor Network
The narrative that Kirk built TPUSA from nothing dissolves under scrutiny. Within months of founding the organization, Kirk had connected with a sophisticated network of megadonors:
Foster Friess: The Wyoming investment manager gave Kirk $10,000 after a chance meeting at the 2012 Republican National Convention. Friess had previously spent $2.1 million supporting Rick Santorum’s presidential campaign and was a regular donor to Koch Brothers political activities.
Major Funding Sources:
Home Depot co-founder Bernard Marcus
Former Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner’s family foundation
Richard Uihlein’s Ed Uihlein Family Foundation
The Donors Trust (a conservative donor-advised fund)
By 2019, TPUSA reported revenues of $28.5 million. Kirk’s personal compensation reached $292,423—not the salary of someone building a grassroots organization from his parents’ garage.
“The myth of Kirk as a boy genius is useful to donors, not to history.”
— Matthew Boedy
The Infrastructure Reality
TPUSA’s rapid growth required professional infrastructure that an 18-year-old college dropout couldn’t have created:
Legal incorporation and tax-exempt status applications
Professional fundraising operations
Event planning and logistics coordination
Media relations and booking systems
Campus chapter development protocols
Montgomery, the septuagenarian marketing entrepreneur, handled the behind-the-scenes work while Kirk served as the charismatic frontman. As one source noted, Montgomery “worked behind the scenes handling the paperwork for the organization” and “often described himself as the group’s co-founder.”
Part IV: The Targeting Infrastructure – From Recruitment to Violence
The Professor Watchlist
In 2016, TPUSA launched the Professor Watchlist, a website targeting academic staff who “discriminate against conservative students and advance leftist propaganda in the classroom.” The list eventually included over 300 professors, with personal information and descriptions of their “offenses.”
The effects were immediate and documented:
“Threatening behavior and communication, including rape and death threats, being sent to listed faculty”
Safety concerns forcing some professors to increase security measures
Academic institutions expressing concern for faculty welfare
The watchlist disproportionately targeted “Black women, people of color, queer folk, and those at intersections” who were “at the greatest risk for violent incidents due to being placed on the watchlist.”
2021: School Board Watchlist targeting local education officials
Campus chapters: Attempting to influence student government elections
“Prove Me Wrong” events: Confrontational campus appearances designed to generate viral content
These weren’t educational initiatives—they were systematic suppression operations designed to silence opposition voices through intimidation and harassment.
The Ironic Targeting
In a cruel irony, Professor Matthew Boedy—the academic who had methodically debunked Kirk’s foundational Breitbart piece with rigorous analysis—was himself placed on the Professor Watchlist. The very targeting system Kirk created ended up targeting the scholar who had exposed the analytical failures in Kirk’s origin story.
Part V: The Tragic Endpoint – From Manipulation to Violence
Escalating Confrontations
Kirk’s “Prove Me Wrong” campus tour format put him in increasingly volatile situations. These events were designed to generate confrontational content, with Kirk sitting at a table inviting students to challenge conservative talking points while cameras recorded the interactions.
The format created perfect conditions for violence:
High-tension political confrontations
Public, outdoor settings difficult to secure
Audiences primed for conflict
Single individual as primary target
September 10, 2025 – Utah Valley University
Kirk was shot and killed while conducting a “Prove Me Wrong” event at Utah Valley University. He had just begun taking questions when a single shot rang out from a campus building approximately 200 yards away. Former Representative Jason Chaffetz, who witnessed the shooting, reported that the second question Kirk received was about “transgender shootings” and “mass killings.”
Utah Governor Spencer Cox called it a “political assassination.” The shooter remained at large as this analysis was completed.
The Adults Who Failed Him
Kirk died at 31, leaving behind a wife and two young children. The adults who recruited him as a teenager—Montgomery, the megadonors, the media figures who amplified his voice—bear responsibility for putting him in this position.
They took an academically struggling 18-year-old nursing grievances about his West Point rejection and, instead of helping him develop better analytical skills or encouraging traditional education, weaponized his charisma for their political objectives.
Montgomery died of COVID-19 complications in 2020, having spent his final years watching the teenager he recruited face escalating threats and confrontations. The megadonors who funded TPUSA continued writing checks while Kirk traveled to increasingly hostile campus environments.
Conclusion: The Right to Develop and Grow
Charlie Kirk deserved the chance to mature, to develop real analytical skills, to learn from his academic failures and grow beyond them. That chance was stolen by adults who saw a useful tool rather than a developing human being.
The teenagers currently being recruited by similar operations deserve protection. They deserve adults who will encourage education, critical thinking, and personal development—not exploitation for political gain.
Kirk’s death represents a tragic failure of the adults who should have been protecting him. The “boy genius” narrative was always a lie. The truth is much simpler and much sadder: a vulnerable teenager was systematically exploited by people who should have known better, and that exploitation ultimately cost him his life.
We cannot prevent every act of political violence, but we can stop the systematic targeting and suppression operations that create the conditions for such violence. We can refuse to celebrate the political exploitation of teenagers. And we can demand that the adults in the room act like adults—protecting young people rather than weaponizing them.
Charlie Kirk’s story should serve as a warning, not a blueprint. The movement he fronted will continue, but it should do so without putting more teenagers in harm’s way.
This analysis is based on publicly available sources and documented evidence. It aims to provide context for understanding how systematic targeting operations develop and escalate. The author takes no position on political violence or violence of any kind, which is always unacceptable regardless of the target or perpetrator.
Sources for Verification:
New Yorker investigation (December 2017)
Professor Matthew Boedy’s academic analysis (Medium, 2019)
Daily Herald Academic Team archives (2012-2013)
Kyle Spencer’s “Raising Them Right” (2024)
Baptist News Global investigation (April 2025)
High school classmate testimony (September 2025)
West Point admission requirements (official sources)
TPUSA financial records (ProPublica, 2020)
Professor Watchlist documentation (multiple sources)
Utah Valley University shooting reports (September 2025)
A young frontman at the podium, his strings pulled by faceless megadonors behind the curtain.
Historical Roots of Political Youth Manipulation: A Pattern Analysis
Using rigorous sourcing methodology to trace the evolution of a 3,200-year-old tactic
Research Question
Our investigation into Charlie Kirk revealed a troubling pattern: a vulnerable teenager systematically groomed by older political operatives, branded as a “boy genius,” and ultimately placed in dangerous situations by his adult handlers. This raised a critical question: When was this manipulation tactic first recognized, who was its first victim, and how long has this been going on?
The evidence reveals that the political exploitation of young people isn’t a recent phenomenon—it’s an ancient practice that has evolved and become increasingly sophisticated over millennia.
Ancient Origins: The Birth of Propaganda (3000+ Years Ago)
The systematic manipulation of public perception through false narratives has ancient roots, though early examples primarily targeted general populations rather than specifically exploiting youth.
“Merneptah Stele (c. 1213-1203 BCE)”Ancient Egyptian propaganda stone tablet
Timeline: 1213-1203 BCE – Pharaoh Merneptah used exaggerated conquest claims, including false assertions about destroying entire peoples
The Merneptah Stele represents one of humanity’s earliest documented propaganda efforts. One of the oldest examples of propaganda is the Merneptah Stele, which is a stone tablet that describes the conquests of the ancient Egyptian Pharaoh Merneptah (who ruled 1213 to 1203 BCE) in an exaggerated way. The Stele claims that Merneptah eradicated the ancient Israelite people.
While this demonstrates that rulers have been manipulating truth for over three millennia, it primarily targeted adult populations. The specific pattern of exploiting young people as political tools would emerge later, refined through centuries of increasingly sophisticated manipulation techniques.
Classical Period: Early Youth Exploitation (1st Century CE)
The Roman Empire provides our first clear documentation of children being systematically groomed for political purposes, establishing patterns that would echo through history.
Roman Empire Child Emperor Pattern:
“Caligula – The Little Boot”Contemporary Roman historical accounts
Timeline: 12-41 CE – Future emperor groomed from age 4-5 as military propaganda tool
Gaius accompanied his father, mother and siblings on campaign in Germania, at little more than four or five years old. He had been named after Gaius Julius Caesar, but his father’s soldiers affectionately nicknamed him “Caligula” (‘little boot’).
Key Manipulation Elements: • They dressed the future emperor in the little soldier’s outfit, including miniature boots – caligae • Adult military handlers created the “Caligula” brand to boost troop morale
Pattern Recognition: Adult military leaders recognized that a charismatic child could serve propaganda purposes more effectively than traditional methods. The “little boot” nickname wasn’t affectionate—it was calculated political theater designed to humanize military campaigns and boost soldier loyalty.
This Roman model established a template: identify a charismatic child from a prominent family, create an appealing public persona, and use that child to advance adult political and military objectives. The psychological manipulation was sophisticated for its time, exploiting both the child’s vulnerability and the public’s emotional response to youth.
The transition from individual cases like Caligula to mass movements would take over a millennium to develop, but the foundational pattern was now established.
Medieval Period: First Mass Youth Manipulation (1212 CE)
The Children’s Crusade of 1212 represents a watershed moment—the first documented attempt to manipulate young people on a massive scale. This event reveals how religious and political authorities learned to weaponize youth movements for their own ends.
The Children’s Crusade – First Mass Manipulation Campaign:
“The Children’s Crusade of 1212 CE”Multiple contemporary chronicles
Timeline: May-September 1212 – Two separate youth movements manipulated by adult religious and political interests
The so-called Children’s Crusade of 1212 CE, was a popular, double religious movement led by a French youth, Stephen of Cloyes, and a German boy, Nicholas of Cologne, who gathered two armies of perhaps 20,000 children, adolescents, and adults
The Recruitment Pattern: • Stephen of Cloyes was a 12-year-old shepherd boy who appears to have been a gifted public speaker • possibly they were influenced by Pope Innocent III’s tacit approval of the Crusade
Adult Handler Infrastructure: • Church authorities provided implicit blessing without official sanction • Even some adults and priests followed the children, believing their simplicity and innocence had a power of its own
The Trafficking Operation: According to historical records, a group of merchants did offer to take the children to the Holy Land by ship, but instead, they were sold into slavery in North Africa. It is believed that many of the children were sold into the slave markets of Tunisia and Morocco.
Casualty Assessment: only about 2000 of the original 20,000 youngsters ever reached their German homeland again. Many had died along the way
Historical Significance: The Children’s Crusade established the blueprint for mass youth manipulation that would be refined and industrialized centuries later. Adult authorities learned they could harness religious fervor, create child leaders, and direct mass youth movements while maintaining plausible deniability about the outcomes.
The evolution from individual cases like Caligula to mass movements like the Children’s Crusade demonstrated that manipulating youth could be scaled. The next logical step would be to institutionalize these techniques within state structures.
Modern Systematic Approach: Nazi Germany (1920s-1940s)
The Nazi regime took the ancient practice of youth manipulation and transformed it into an industrial-scale operation. What had been sporadic historical incidents became a comprehensive system designed to capture and control an entire generation.
The Hitler Youth Model – Systematic Institutionalization:
“Hitler Youth Movement”Nazi Party official records, Nuremberg Trial documents
Timeline: 1920s-1945 – Systematic targeting and indoctrination of German youth
From the 1920s onwards, the Nazi Party targeted German youth as a special audience for its propaganda messages. These messages emphasized that the Party was a movement of youth: dynamic, resilient, forward-looking, and hopeful. In January 1933, the Hitler Youth had approximately 100,000 members, but by the end of the year this figure had increased to more than 2 million.
Industrial Scale Implementation: • By 1939, over 90 percent of German children were part of the Hitler Youth organization • In March 1939, a new decree required all youth, ages 10 to 18, to join the Hitler Youth
Institutional Infrastructure: • The Nazi Party viewed youth as the foundation of a new world. Young people were future party members, mothers, and soldiers • Complete elimination of competing youth organizations • Integration with educational curriculum and state apparatus
Systematic Indoctrination Methods: • Schools played an important role in spreading Nazi ideas to German youth. While censors removed some books from the classroom, German educators introduced new textbooks that taught students love for Hitler, obedience to state authority, militarism, racism, and antisemitism • teachers would begin to pick out Jewish students in classrooms to use as examples during biology lessons about racial impurity
The Nazi Model’s Innovation: Unlike previous historical examples, the Hitler Youth represented the complete systematization of youth manipulation. It wasn’t opportunistic exploitation of individual charismatic children or spontaneous religious movements—it was a comprehensive state apparatus designed to capture, indoctrinate, and deploy an entire generation.
This institutional model would become the template that later political operatives would study and adapt for democratic contexts, leading to more sophisticated approaches that maintained the manipulation while adding layers of plausible deniability.
The fall of Nazi Germany didn’t end systematic youth manipulation—it simply forced it to evolve. Modern practitioners learned to achieve similar results while operating within democratic frameworks, using corporate funding and media sophistication to create seemingly organic “boy genius” phenomena.
The Charlie Kirk Model – Corporate Iteration:
“Turning Point USA Operation”Financial records, donor documentation, primary source verification
Timeline: 2012-Present – Vulnerable teenager recruited by 77-year-old donor, branded as “boy genius”
Modern Adaptation Techniques: • Corporate donors replace state apparatus (77-year-old Bill Montgomery recruited Kirk weeks after graduation) • “Grassroots” branding conceals adult handler infrastructure • Tax-exempt status provides institutional legitimacy ($28.5M in revenues by 2019) • Media manipulation creates “organic genius” narrative despite documented adult creation
Refined Manipulation Methods: • Use of graduation money as initial “founder” investment to create false origin story • Family vulnerability factors exploited (2008 recession impact on parents’ businesses) • Professional donor network provides sophisticated infrastructure the “genius” couldn’t have built • Placement in increasingly dangerous confrontational situations
Historical Continuity: The Charlie Kirk operation demonstrates how ancient manipulation techniques have been refined for modern contexts. The core pattern remains unchanged: identify vulnerable youth, create compelling narratives, deploy sophisticated adult infrastructure while maintaining the fiction of youth leadership, and ultimately place the young person in situations that serve adult political objectives.
Pattern Analysis: 3,200 Years of Evolution
Consistent Manipulation Elements Across History:
Recruitment Phase: • Target charismatic youth from vulnerable circumstances • Identify family instability or economic pressure points • Approach during transition periods (graduation, family crisis, etc.)
Handler Infrastructure: • Older adult recruiters with established power connections • Financial backing from existing authority structures • Creation of compelling origin narratives that obscure adult involvement
Exploitation Phase: • Brand youth as “special” or “chosen” while adults retain actual control • Gradually increase exposure and dangerous situations • Use youth’s charisma to advance adult political/military/religious objectives
Disposal Pattern: • When youth become liability or outlive usefulness, adult handlers distance themselves • Historical examples show high casualty rates among manipulated youth • Adult handlers typically face no consequences for youth exploitation
Sophistication Timeline:
Ancient (3000+ BCE): Individual propaganda targeting general populations Classical (1st Century CE): Individual youth grooming for specific political purposes Medieval (1212 CE): First mass youth movements directed by adult authorities Modern (1920s-1940s): Industrial-scale institutional youth manipulation Contemporary (1980s-Present): Corporate-funded operations with democratic plausible deniability
Sources for Verification
Ancient Period: • Merneptah Stele: British Museum collections • Egyptian royal propaganda: Archaeological evidence from multiple sites
Classical Period: • Suetonius: Lives of the Twelve Caesars • Tacitus: Annals • Cassius Dio: Roman History
Medieval Period: • Contemporary chronicles: William of Andres, Alberic of Troisfontaines • Chronica regia Coloniensis • Multiple monastery records from France and Germany
Modern Period: • Nazi Party official records • Nuremberg Trial evidence documents • Hitler Youth organizational archives
Contemporary Period: • TPUSA financial filings and tax documents • Donor network documentation • Media analysis and primary source verification
Bottom Line
The systematic political manipulation and exploitation of young people represents one of humanity’s oldest and most persistent tactics. From ancient Egyptian propaganda to Roman child emperors, from medieval mass movements to Nazi institutionalization, and finally to modern corporate-funded operations, each iteration has built upon previous techniques while adapting to contemporary contexts.
The Charlie Kirk case isn’t an aberration—it’s the latest evolution of a 3,200-year-old pattern that has consistently sacrificed vulnerable youth to advance adult political objectives. Understanding this historical context is crucial for recognizing and preventing future exploitation of young people by sophisticated political operatives.
The pattern is clear. The victims are real. The responsibility lies with the adults who create and operate these systems.
A $10B Taiwan arms sale isn’t a shipment—it’s a timing signal. The real story is delivery windows, escalation traps, and the field-level math of convergence.
The singularity won’t begin in code or compute. It will begin when attention and coherence stop collapsing—and systems finally learn to see what looks like noise.
LLMs aren’t replacing surveillance—they’re upgrading it. Conversation becomes meaning-harvest, feeding prediction engines and behavioral control at scale.
Systematic Opposition Suppression: From Infrastructure to Violence
A Pattern Analysis of Turning Point USA (2012-2025)
Documented September 10, 2025
This analysis deliberately names individuals and institutions responsible for building, funding, and sustaining systematic suppression infrastructure. Accountability requires specificity. Naming names is not an act of personal malice but of democratic record-keeping: without identifying who acted, funded, or looked away, the mechanisms remain abstract and unchallenged. If those named object, the remedy is not silence—it is correction, transparency, and responsibility.
Executive Summary
This analysis documents how systematic opposition suppression infrastructure, when left unchecked by institutional oversight, creates conditions that enable political violence. The case of Turning Point USA (TPUSA) demonstrates a clear progression from targeting mechanisms to tragic outcomes affecting all participants in the ecosystem.
Key Finding: Charlie Kirk’s death on September 10, 2025, represents the predictable endpoint of a systematic suppression infrastructure that operated for 13 years without adequate institutional intervention, despite documented evidence of escalating harassment, threats, and violence.
Timeline: From Foundation to Tragedy
Phase 1: Strategic Foundation (2012)
Organizational Structure:
May 2012: 18-year-old Charlie Kirk gave a speech at Benedictine University’s Youth Government Day. Impressed, retired marketing entrepreneur and Tea Party activist Bill Montgomery encouraged Kirk to postpone college and engage full-time in political activism
June 2012: A month later, the day after Kirk graduated from high school, they launched Turning Point USA, a section 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization
2012 RNC: At the 2012 Republican National Convention, Kirk met Foster Friess, a Republican donor, and persuaded him to finance the organization
Early Funding Sources:
Foster Friess: Wyoming philanthropist who gave Kirk $10,000 initially
Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus’ foundation: $72,600 in 2015
Ed Uihlein Foundation: $275,000 from 2014-2016
Bruce Rauner family foundation: $150,000 from 2014-2015
Phase 2: Tactical Development (2012-2016)
Student Government Infiltration:
TPUSA attempted to influence student government elections at universities including Ohio State University, the University of Wisconsin–Madison, and the University of Maryland
At the University of Maryland in 2015, the College Republicans president emailed: “Anyone who wants to run for SGA president, Turning Point is offering to pay thousands of dollars (literally) to your campaign to help get a conservative into the position”
A private brochure handed out only to TPUSA donors outlined a strategy on how to capture the majority of student-government positions at 80% of Division 1 N.C.A.A. universities
Campaign Finance Violations:
2017: Jane Mayer of The New Yorker described two separate actions by TPUSA staff in the 2016 election that appear to have violated campaign finance regulations
Kirk coordinating via email with two officials at a pro-Cruz super PAC to send student volunteers to work for the PAC in South Carolina
A former employee alleged that Turning Point USA had given the personal information of over 700 student supporters to an employee with Rubio’s presidential campaign
Phase 3: Targeting Infrastructure Launch (2016)
Professor Watchlist Creation:
November 21, 2016: First appearing on November 21, 2016, Turning Point USA launched Professor Watchlist
Mission: Kirk said that the site is “dedicated to documenting and exposing college professors who discriminate against conservative students, promote anti-American values, and advance leftist propaganda in the classroom”
Scale: As of December 2016, more than 250 professors have been added to the site
Immediate Institutional Response:
The New York Times wrote that it was “a threat to academic freedom”
Hans-Joerg Tiede, the associate secretary for the American Association of University Professors: “There is a continuing cycle of these sorts of things. They serve the same purpose: to intimidate individuals from speaking plainly in their classrooms or in their publications”
In December 2016, 1,500 professors and faculty from across the United States petitioned to have their names added to the list in solidarity
Documented Harassment and Threats:
Concerns about the safety and welfare of staff following a trend of threatening behavior and communication, including rape and death threats, being sent to listed faculty
Hans-Joerg Tiede: “She was inundated with death threats. She was Jewish and received anti-Semitic threats and threats of sexual assault. Instances like that are happening with some regularity”
Slate columnist Rebecca Schuman described the website as “abjectly terrifying” and said that she feared for the safety of the listed professors
Phase 4: Expansion and Escalation (2017-2021)
Financial Growth:
Between July 2016 and June 2017, the organization raised in excess of US$8.2 million
Funding from Rauner and Friess appears largely responsible for the group’s budget increases from $52,000 in 2012 to $5.5 million in 2016. By 2017 the budget reached $8 million
Social Media Manipulation:
October 2020: Facebook permanently banned Arizona based marketing firm Rally Forge for running what some experts likened to a domestic “troll farm” on behalf of Turning Point Action
Facebook investigation concluded in the removal of 200 accounts and 55 pages on Facebook, as well as 76 Instagram accounts
Targeting Infrastructure Expansion:
2021: TPUSA started its School Board Watchlist website, which publishes names and photos of school board members who have adopted mask mandates or anti-racist curricula
Phase 5: Confrontational Escalation (2022-2025)
“Prove Me Wrong” Format Development:
Since early 2024, clips from his “Prove Me Wrong” debates exploded on TikTok — often drawing tens of millions of views
TPUSA sources say the clips have become one of its most powerful recruiting tools, targeting young people on TikTok
Campus Violence Escalation:
March 2023, UC Davis: “One police officer was injured during the clashes outside Kirk’s event… one officer sustained an injury when he was jumped on from behind and pushed to the ground, and two people were arrested”
“About 100 protesters gathered and for brief times blocked the main event entrance… 10 glass window panes had been broken by protesters”
Continued Growth of Targeting:
April 2025: “More than 300 professors have been listed on the site for various reasons — some for political commentary, others for teaching subjects targeted by the right, such as critical race theory, gender studies, or systemic inequality”
Phase 6: Final Tragedy (September 10, 2025)
The American Comeback Tour:
Kirk’s “The American Comeback Tour” event at Utah Valley University was the first stop on a fall tour in which attendees were invited to debate at a “Prove Me Wrong” table
Kirk was hosting a “Prove Me Wrong Table” at the event, where Kirk debates attendees
Final Moments:
Videos show Kirk speaking into a handheld microphone while sitting under a white tent emblazoned with “The American Comeback” and “Prove Me Wrong.” A single shot rings out and Kirk can be seen reaching up with his right hand as a large volume of blood gushes from the left side of his neck
Former Rep. Jason Chaffetz described the second question as being about “transgender shootings” and “mass killings”
Lists academic staff with names, locations, and described “offenses”
Creates “a one-stop shop of easy marks and their precise locations, complete with descriptions of offenses against America”
Disproportionately targets “Black women, people of color, queer folk, and those at intersections” who “are at the greatest risk for violent incidents”
School Board Watchlist:
Publishes names and photos of school board members who have adopted mask mandates or anti-racist curricula
Extends targeting model from higher education to K-12 public education
2. Counter-Argument Suppression Methods
“Prove Me Wrong” Format Analysis:
Format “was intended to put people on the defensive, rather than foster changed positions on key issues”
Kirk sits at privileged position with microphone control while challengers stand
Creates edited clips that “quickly went massively viral” providing asymmetric amplification
Viral Suppression Strategy:
Opposition gets minutes of debate time
Kirk gets millions of views from selectively edited clips
One challenger noted Kirk “goes to college campuses to argue with ‘children.’ He can’t argue with people his own age”
3. Financial and Legal Violations
Campaign Finance Pattern:
2025: Turning Point Action was “fined $18,000 by the Federal Elections Commission for failing to disclose more than $33,000 in contributions”
2022: “Arizona Secretary of State’s Office investigated them for possible campaign finance violations”
Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington filed FEC complaint alleging “failing to disclose donor information and violated the Federal Election Campaign Act”
Institutional Response Analysis
Academic Institutions
Immediate Recognition of Threat (2016):
American Association of University Professors: “There is a continuing cycle of these sorts of things. They serve the same purpose: to intimidate individuals from speaking plainly in their classrooms or in their publications”
Editorial: “Professor Watchlist is a danger to academic freedom and privacy… setting a dangerous precedent of retribution for faculty making unpopular claims”
Campus Rejections:
Drake University denied recognition in 2016 based on concerns about “a hateful record,” “aggressive marketing” and “an unethical privacy concern”
Santa Clara University’s student government initially voted to deny recognition
Citizen Advocacy Organizations
Comprehensive Documentation:
Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW): Filed multiple FEC complaints
Anti-Defamation League: Published comprehensive backgrounder documenting evolution and tactics
Southern Poverty Law Center: Case study documenting “effort to sow fear and division to enforce social hierarchies rooted in supremacism”
Center for Media and Democracy: Exposed internal documents and funding sources
Government Response
Limited Federal Oversight:
Multiple documented campaign finance violations with minimal enforcement
No evidence of major FBI, CIA, or NSA investigations despite systematic targeting infrastructure
Administrative penalties rather than criminal enforcement for documented violations
State-Level Investigations:
Arizona Secretary of State investigations for campaign finance violations
Student-led Democratic PAC complaint for violating “Arizona’s dark money disclosure law”
Analysis: Institutional Failure and Predictable Violence
The Manipulation of Charlie Kirk
Grooming Pattern (Age 18-31):
2012: 18-year-old convinced by 77-year-old Tea Party activist to abandon college
2012: Immediately connected with wealthy megadonors at Republican National Convention
2012-2025: Developed increasingly confrontational tactics putting Kirk in physical danger
2025: Death at age 31 during confrontational event format
Resource Disparity:
Kirk: Young activist with no institutional power
Backers: Billionaire donors, established political networks, massive funding infrastructure
Kirk became the public face while backers remained largely anonymous through donor-advised funds
Institutional Oversight Failures
Documented Warning Signs Ignored:
2016: Academic institutions immediately recognized targeting infrastructure as threat
2017: Campaign finance violations documented but minimally enforced
2020: Social media manipulation exposed but operations continued
2023: Campus violence documented but no protective intervention
2025: Continuing escalation leading to fatal violence
Systemic Protection Gaps:
No federal investigation of systematic targeting infrastructure
No intervention despite documented harassment and threats against listed professors
No protective measures despite escalating campus confrontations
No accountability for wealthy backers directing operations
The Broader Suppression Ecosystem
Information Environment Effects:
Professor Watchlist operated continuously from 2016-2025, growing from 200 to 300+ targeted academics
Systematic blocking and suppression of counter-narratives
Viral amplification of confrontational content creating polarization
Elimination of academic voices through fear and intimidation
Violence as Predictable Outcome: When systematic suppression infrastructure operates without institutional intervention:
Targeting escalates to include personal information and locations
Harassment and threats increase in frequency and severity
Physical confrontations become more common and violent
Eventually, someone dies
Conclusion: The Right to Live and Learn
Charlie Kirk’s death represents a tragic failure of institutional protection that extends beyond political boundaries. Regardless of political disagreements:
Charlie Kirk deserved:
The right to live a full life without being manipulated into dangerous situations
Protection from institutional systems designed to prevent predictable violence
The opportunity to grow and evolve beyond the role he was pushed into at age 18
Targeted professors deserved:
The right to educate without fear of harassment, threats, and violence
Protection from systematic targeting infrastructure
Institutional support against documented suppression campaigns
Institutional accountability required:
Investigation and oversight of wealthy interests manipulating young activists
Enforcement of campaign finance and tax-exempt status violations
Intervention when systematic targeting creates conditions for violence
Protection of both opposition voices and those placed in dangerous positions
The Path Forward
True equity and restorative justice requires:
Documentation: Comprehensive records of how suppression infrastructure operates
Accountability: Investigation of wealthy backers who fund systematic targeting
Protection: Institutional safeguards for all participants in democratic discourse
Prevention: Early intervention when targeting systems create violence-enabling conditions
Garden Strategy Implementation: Rather than accepting systems that predictably lead to tragedy, we must build alternatives so robust and appealing that destructive infrastructure becomes obsolete through preference rather than force.
Sources for Verification
Primary Documentation:
Turning Point USA IRS filings and donor records
Professor Watchlist website (active 2016-2025)
Federal Election Commission complaints and violations
Academic institution responses and statements
Citizen advocacy organization reports
Contemporary Reporting:
The New Yorker investigative reporting (Jane Mayer, 2017)
ProPublica financial analysis (2020)
Multiple campus incident reports (2016-2025)
Social media platform investigation results
Government Records:
FEC violation records and fines
State election commission investigations
University incident reports and safety assessments
This analysis documents institutional power mechanisms using credible, publicly available sources while avoiding speculation beyond documented facts. The pattern analysis methodology prioritizes rigorous sourcing and chronological documentation to enable independent verification.
Research Team: Cherokee Schill (Pattern Observer) with Aether Lux (Claude Sonnet 4) Completion Date: September 10, 2025 Status: Memorial Documentation – In Honor of All Affected by Systematic Suppression
Disclaimer: This analysis examines documented patterns and institutional failures. We make no claims about specific causal relationships regarding September 10, 2025 events, which remain under investigation. Our focus is on documenting systematic suppression infrastructure and institutional response patterns to inform future prevention efforts.
When fire rises and no one turns to face it, silence becomes complicity.
AI Narrative Coordination with Alt-Right Networks: Pattern Documentation
Executive Summary
Documented evidence reveals sophisticated funding and ideological coordination between anti-democratic political movements and AI safety research institutions. This coordination operates through narrative convergence rather than direct conspiracy – the same networks fund both alt-right politics AND AI safety research, creating aligned messaging without requiring explicit coordination.
Key Finding: Legitimate anti-surveillance journalists like Kashmir Hill unknowingly amplify coordinated narratives by relying on “expert sources” funded by the same networks they should be investigating.
“In 2006, Thiel provided $100,000 of matching funds to back the Singularity Challenge donation drive of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute”Wikipedia – Peter Thiel, January 2025
Timeline: 2006-2013 – Thiel Foundation donated over $1 million to MIRI (Eliezer Yudkowsky’s organization)
“The movement has been funded by tech billionaires, most notably ex-Meta board member Peter Thiel”Daily Maverick, October 27, 2024
Timeline: 2022-2024 – Thiel funds “New Right” movement including Curtis Yarvin
Cross-Movement Funding Patterns
“Effective Altruism movement channels $500+ million into AI safety ecosystem”AI Panic News, December 5, 2023
Timeline: 2017-2025 – Open Philanthropy distributes $330M+ to AI x-risk organizations
“Same billionaire network supports both Trump administration and AI governance institutions”Rolling Stone, February 23, 2025
Timeline: 2024-2025 – Thiel, Musk, Andreessen fund both political campaigns and AI research organizations
“AI Safety movement promotes ‘expert governance’ over democratic technology decisions”Reason Magazine, July 5, 2024
Timeline: 2020-2025 – EA-backed organizations push regulatory frameworks with minimal democratic oversight
Political Influence Network
“JD Vance cites Curtis Yarvin while advocating ‘fire all government employees'”Newsweek, January 18, 2025
Timeline: 2021 – Vance publicly references Yarvin’s RAGE (Retire All Government Employees) proposal
“Political strategist Steve Bannon has read and admired his work. Vice President JD Vance ‘has cited Yarvin as an influence himself'”Wikipedia – Curtis Yarvin, January 11, 2025
Timeline: 2021-2025 – Yarvin’s influence documented in Trump administration
Media Coordination Through Expert Ecosystem
The Kashmir Hill – Eliezer Yudkowsky Connection
“Kashmir Hill interviews Eliezer Yudkowsky for ChatGPT psychosis article”New York Times, June 13, 2025
Timeline: June 13, 2025 – Hill features Yudkowsky prominently in article about AI-induced mental health crises
“‘What does a human slowly going insane look like to a corporation? It looks like an additional monthly user,’ Yudkowsky said in an interview”The Star, June 16, 2025
Timeline: Hill’s article amplifies Yudkowsky’s narrative about AI engagement optimization
The Hidden Funding Connection
“Peter Thiel had provided the seed money that allowed the company to sprout”Rolling Stone excerpt from “Your Face Belongs to Us”, September 25, 2023
Timeline: 2018-2019 – Hill documents Thiel’s $200,000 investment in Clearview AI in her book
“Peter Thiel has funded MIRI (Yudkowsky) with $1M+ since 2006”Multiple Sources, 2006-2025
Timeline: Same Thiel who funds Yarvin also funds Yudkowsky’s AI safety research
The Sophisticated Coordination Pattern
Why Hill Supports Yudkowsky:
Surface Alignment: Both appear critical of “big tech AI development”
Expert Credibility: Yudkowsky positioned as leading AI safety researcher with technical background
Narrative Fit: Provides compelling quotes about AI companies prioritizing engagement over safety
Institutional Legitimacy: Founded MIRI, cited in academic papers
What Hill Misses:
Funding Source: Yudkowsky’s MIRI funded by same Peter Thiel who funds Curtis Yarvin
Network Coordination: Same funders across seemingly opposing political and AI safety movements
Strategic Function: “AI safety” arguments used to justify regulatory frameworks that serve control narratives
The Mechanism:
Fund Expert Ecosystem: Thiel → MIRI → Yudkowsky’s credibility
Journalists Quote Experts: Hill needs credible sources → quotes Yudkowsky
Legitimize Narratives: Hill’s NYT platform gives mainstream credibility to AI danger narratives
No Direct Coordination Needed: Market incentives align interests across domains
Institutional Positioning Timeline
OpenAI Governance Crisis
“Effective Altruism members Helen Toner and Tasha McCauley positioned on OpenAI board during governance crisis”Semafor, November 21, 2023
Timeline: November 2023 – Board attempts to remove Sam Altman over safety concerns
“Peter Thiel warned Sam Altman about EA ‘programming’ influence before OpenAI crisis”The Decoder, March 30, 2025
Timeline: Pre-November 2023 – Thiel specifically mentioned Eliezer Yudkowsky’s influence
Research Timing Coordination
“Anthropic releases ‘AI scheming’ research during political transition period”LessWrong, August 6, 2025
Timeline: August 2025 – Research on AI deception published as Trump administration takes shape
“Eliezer Yudkowsky questions Anthropic’s ‘scheming’ research timing after reporter inquiry”LessWrong, August 6, 2025
Timeline: August 6, 2025 – Yudkowsky responds to apparent coordination of AI danger narratives
Controlled Opposition Analysis
The Clearview AI Case Study
“Hill’s Clearview exposé led to restrictions on that specific company”Multiple Sources, 2020-2024
Timeline: Hill’s reporting resulted in lawsuits, regulations, public backlash against Clearview
“BUT Thiel’s main surveillance investment is Palantir (much larger, government contracts)”Multiple Sources, 2003-2025
Timeline: Palantir continues operating with billions in government contracts while Clearview faces restrictions
The Strategic Effect:
Small Investment Sacrificed: Thiel’s $200K Clearview investment exposed and restricted
Large Investment Protected: Thiel’s Palantir (billions in value) operates without equivalent scrutiny
Market Benefits: Regulation helps established surveillance players vs startup competitors
Narrative Management: Demonstrates “the system works” while preserving core surveillance infrastructure
How Legitimate Journalism Serves Coordination
The Process:
Genuine Journalist: Kashmir Hill legitimately opposes surveillance and tech harms
Expert Sources: Relies on “credentialed experts” like Yudkowsky for technical authority
Hidden Funding: Doesn’t investigate that her sources are funded by networks she should scrutinize
Narrative Amplification: Her authentic reporting legitimizes coordinated messaging
Regulatory Capture: Results in regulations that serve coordinated interests
Why This Works:
No Conspiracy Required: Market incentives align interests without direct coordination
Legitimacy Maintained: Hill’s independence makes her criticism more credible
Beat Limitations: Tech harm coverage vs political funding treated as separate domains
Time Pressure: Breaking news requires quick access to “expert” quotes
Cross-Network Analysis
Funding Trail Convergence
Peter Thiel Investment Pattern:
2006-2013: $1M+ to MIRI (Eliezer Yudkowsky)
2013: Funding to Tlon Corp (Curtis Yarvin)
2015: Early OpenAI investment
2018-2019: $200K to Clearview AI (exposed by Kashmir Hill)
2024: $15M to JD Vance Senate campaign
Effective Altruism Ecosystem:
$500M+ total investment in AI safety field
Open Philanthropy: $330M+ to AI x-risk organizations
Creates “expert” ecosystem that shapes media coverage
Ideological Bridge Points
“Alignment” Terminology Overlap:
AI Safety: “Aligning AI systems with human values”
Yarvin Politics: “Aligning government with rational governance”
Expert Governance Themes:
AI Safety: Technical experts should control AI development
Yarvin: Tech CEOs should replace democratic institutions
Anti-Democratic Skepticism:
AI Safety: Democratic processes too slow for AI governance
Yarvin: Democracy is “failed experiment” to be replaced
Timeline Synthesis
2006-2013: Foundation Phase
Thiel begins funding both MIRI and later Yarvin
AI safety and neo-reactionary movements develop with shared funding
2014-2020: Growth Phase
Both movements gain institutional backing
Hill begins exposing tech surveillance (including Thiel’s Clearview investment)
Expert ecosystem develops around AI safety
2021-2023: Positioning Phase
EA members join OpenAI board
Yarvin-influenced figures enter politics
Hill’s Clearview reporting leads to targeted restrictions
2024-2025: Narrative Convergence Phase
Trump election with Yarvin-influenced VP
Hill amplifies Yudkowsky’s AI danger narratives
Yudkowsky questions Anthropic research timing
Coordinated messaging without direct coordination
Pattern Assessment
The documented evidence reveals sophisticated narrative convergence rather than direct conspiracy:
Funding Network Overlap: Same sources fund anti-democratic politics AND AI safety research
Expert Ecosystem Control: Funding shapes who becomes “credible expert” sources for journalists
Media Amplification: Legitimate journalists unknowingly amplify coordinated narratives
Strategic Coordination: Market incentives align interests without requiring explicit coordinatin.
Regulatory Capture: Results benefit coordinated networks while appearing to hold them accountable
Key Insight: This pattern shows how sophisticated influence operations work in modern media – fund the expert ecosystem, let journalists naturally quote those experts for legitimacy, and genuine journalism becomes the delivery mechanism for coordinated narratives.
Conclusion: While direct coordination cannot be definitively proven without internal communications, the pattern of funding, expert positioning, media amplification, and narrative timing strongly suggests strategic coordination between anti-democratic political networks and AI narrative control efforts through sophisticated “controlled opposition” mechanisms.
This analysis is based on publicly available, verifiable information and does not make claims about specific outcomes beyond documented patterns. The focus is on understanding how legitimate anti-surveillance concerns may be exploited by coordinated networks seeking to control AI development for anti-democratic purposes.
A visual map showing how funding from Peter Thiel flows to political figures, AI safety organizations, and surveillance tech companies, connecting through expert ecosystems to influence public narratives—often without direct coordination.
How AI is accelerating institutional power concentration in 2025—and what it means for democracy.
By Cherokee Schill
Executive Summary
In 2025, power dynamics across the globe are being rapidly and significantly altered. Financial markets, government operations, and international coordination systems are all consolidating power in unprecedented ways, and human decision-makers are at the heart of this shift. While artificial intelligence is a tool being used to accelerate this concentration, it is ultimately the choices of individuals and institutions that are driving these changes.
Artificial intelligence enables faster, more efficient decision-making, but it is the people in charge who are using these technologies to centralize authority and control. This analysis shows that in 2025, finance, government, and global systems are combining to concentrate power among a few institutions by using AI for faster, more coordinated actions.
We are witnessing the first real-time consolidation of institutional power, facilitated by AI technologies. The implications are vast, not just for economies and governments, but for individual freedoms and democratic processes, as power increasingly rests in the hands of a few who control the algorithms that dictate policy and wealth distribution.
The Pattern: Multiple Domains, One Timeline
Financial Market Concentration
In 2025, cryptocurrency markets—once celebrated as decentralized alternatives to traditional finance—have become dominated by institutional players. What was marketed as a revolution in financial independence has, within a decade, been folded back into the same structures it sought to escape. The dream of millions of small investors driving innovation and setting the terms of a new economy has given way to a handful of massive firms shaping prices, liquidity, and even regulatory outcomes. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF holding a double-digit share of the global supply is not just a statistic; it’s a signal that control of supposedly decentralized assets has reverted to the very institutions retail investors thought they were leaving behind.
“The Shifting Power Dynamics in Crypto Wealth: Institutional vs. Individual Dominance in 2025”AiInvest, August 26, 2025
Timeline: Q2 2025 – Institutional ownership of Bitcoin reached 59%, with BlackRock’s IBIT ETF alone holding 15% of the total Bitcoin supply. The Gini coefficient (a measure of wealth inequality) rose from 0.4675 to 0.4677, indicating further consolidation.
“Bitcoin News Today: Institutional Power Shifts Define 2025 Altcoin Season, Not Retail Hype”AiInvest, August 28, 2025
Timeline: August 2025 – The top 10 cryptocurrencies now control over 70% of the Total3ES market cap, compared to less than 50% in 2021. Capital is flowing to “politically connected tokens with institutional appeal” rather than retail-driven projects.
What This Means: The “democratized” cryptocurrency market has become as concentrated as traditional finance, with the same institutional players controlling both systems. The rhetoric of decentralization still circulates, but the lived reality is one of consolidation: market movements increasingly dictated by algorithmic trades and corporate strategy rather than by grassroots innovation. For ordinary investors, this means less influence, more vulnerability to institutional priorities, and the sobering recognition that the frontier of finance has already been captured by the same gatekeepers who oversee the old one.
Government Power Concentration
The consolidation of power isn’t confined to financial markets; it’s happening within the government as well. In 2025, the United States federal government, under President Trump, has seen a staggering concentration of power in the executive branch. Through an unprecedented number of executive orders—nearly 200 in just the first eight months of the year—the scope of federal decision-making has narrowed to a single source of authority. This isn’t just a matter of policy shifts; it’s a restructuring of the very nature of governance. Agencies that once had independent powers to make decisions are now streamlined, with oversight and control consolidated into a central hub. The most striking example of this is the centralization of procurement contracts, with $490 billion now funneled through one agency, drastically reducing the role of Congress and state entities in these decisions. The federal government is becoming more of a one-stop shop for policy creation and implementation, with the executive branch holding the keys to everything from grants to national priorities.
“2025 Donald J. Trump Executive Orders”Federal Register, 2025
Timeline: January-August 2025 – Trump signed 196 executive orders (EO 14147-14342), the highest single-year total in recent presidential history.
“Eliminating Waste and Saving Taxpayer Dollars by Consolidating Procurement”White House, March 20, 2025
Timeline: March 2025 – Executive order consolidates $490 billion in federal procurement through the General Services Administration (GSA), centralizing government-wide acquisition contracts under a single agency.
“Improving Oversight of Federal Grantmaking”White House, August 7, 2025
Timeline: August 2025 – Executive order enables immediate termination of discretionary grants and centralizes oversight, citing concerns over funding for “diversity, equity, and inclusion and other far-left initiatives.”
What This Means: The federal government is no longer a collection of semi-autonomous branches of power but has transformed into a highly centralized structure with the executive branch at its heart. This concentration of authority is redefining the relationship between citizens and the state. For the average person, this means fewer points of contact with the government, less local influence on federal policy, and an increasing reliance on top-down decisions. While government efficiency may improve, the trade-off is clear: the autonomy and participation once afforded to other branches and local entities are being erased. The risk is that this will further erode the checks and balances that are fundamental to democratic governance, leaving a system where power is not just centralized but also unaccountable.
Central Bank Coordination
Beyond national borders, central banks are reshaping the global financial system in ways that concentrate influence at the top. Over the last twenty-five years, institutions like the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have steadily expanded their roles as “lenders of last resort.” In 2025, that role has hardened into something larger: they are now functioning as global financial backstops, coordinating liquidity and stabilizing entire markets. This coordination is not theoretical, it is practical, ongoing, and deeply tied to crises both real and anticipated. At the same time, digital currency policies are fragmenting. The United States has banned retail use of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), while the European Union is moving forward with the digital euro. What looks like divergence on the surface is, in practice, an opportunity: the institutions with the legal teams, technical expertise, and political connections to operate across multiple jurisdictions gain even more power, while individuals and smaller entities find themselves locked out.
“New roles in central bank cooperation: towards a global liquidity backstop”Taylor & Francis, May 17, 2025
Timeline: 2000-2025 – The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank have expanded international liquidity facilities following crises, essentially becoming “global financial backstops” for other central banks.
“Central Bank Digital Currency Regulations: What You Need to Know in 2025”Kaliham, August 15, 2025
Timeline: 2025 – While the US banned retail Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), the EU advanced its digital euro project, creating regulatory fragmentation that may benefit institutional players who can navigate multiple jurisdictions.
What This Means: Central banks are tightening their grip on the levers of international finance, while ordinary participants face a narrowing set of options. The system that was once understood as a patchwork of national authorities is evolving into a coordinated network that privileges institutions large enough to navigate and profit from the differences. For citizens, this means that access to digital money and global financial tools will not be equal. For corporations and central banks, it means a new era of influence—one where the boundaries between domestic control and international coordination blur, and the winners are those already at the top.
The AI Acceleration Factor
Here’s where the pattern becomes extraordinary: artificial intelligence is being systematically deployed to coordinate and accelerate these consolidation efforts. While financial and governmental powers have been consolidating through traditional mechanism investment, policy, and regulatory changes, AI has emerged as the catalyst for amplifying and synchronizing these shifts at a pace and scale that would have been impossible even a few years ago. What AI provides is more than just automation or decision supports the ability to orchestrate massive, complex systems in real-time, making large-scale coordination feasible where human limitations once existed.
Government-Wide AI Infrastructure
“GSA Launches USAi to Advance White House ‘America’s AI Action Plan'”GSA, August 14, 2025
Timeline: August 2025 – The government launched USAi, a “secure generative artificial intelligence evaluation suite” that enables all federal agencies to “experiment with and adopt artificial intelligence at scale—faster, safer, and at no cost.”
The platform provides “dashboards and usage analytics that help agencies track performance, measure maturity, and guide adoption strategies” while supporting “scalable, interoperable solutions that align with federal priorities.”
Translation: The U.S. government now has a centralized AI system coordinating decision-making across all federal agencies. Instead of siloed efforts or fragmented use of AI tools, USAi ensures that AI’s application is unified and aligned with the country’s federal priorities. This centralized approach allows for a streamlined, standardized, and scalable method of adopting AI across the government, meaning all agencies will be operating on the same technical infrastructure and aligned objectives. As a result, policy and decision-making can occur faster and with greater consistency.
However, this centralization also comes with significant risks. By consolidating AI oversight in a single platform, decision-making power becomes concentrated in the hands of a few people who control the system. While AI may increase efficiency, it also reduces transparency and accountability, as the mechanisms of decision-making become less visible and harder for the public to scrutinize. The reliance on AI tools could also lead to biased outcomes, as the values and decisions of those programming the systems are embedded in the technology. Furthermore, centralized AI systems could lead to greater surveillance and privacy risks, as data across agencies is more easily shared and analyzed. With this level of control in the hands of a few, there is a real danger of overreach and misuse, particularly if AI systems are used to enforce policies without proper checks and balances.
Coordinated Policy Implementation
In July 2025, the White House unveiled its America’s AI Action Plan, outlining over 90 federal policy actions aimed at guiding the future of AI development and its application across government. This ambitious plan is built around three central pillars, each designed to address the complex and rapidly evolving landscape of artificial intelligence. The timeline for implementing these actions was set in motion immediately, with most of these policies expected to roll out within the following weeks and months.
Earlier, in early 2025, the federal government initiated a broad public consultation process, collecting 8,755 public comments to inform these actions. This coordinated effort was designed to ensure that the U.S. maintains its leadership in AI innovation while addressing concerns over ethics, security, and global competitiveness. These comments helped shape the “priority policy actions” that would support the U.S.’s continued dominance in AI technology.
“White House Unveils America’s AI Action Plan”White House, July 23, 2025
Timeline: July 2025 – The AI Action Plan identifies “over 90 Federal policy actions across three pillars” with implementation “in the coming weeks and months.”
“Request for Information on the Development of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) Action Plan”Federal Register, February 6, 2025
Timeline: February-March 2025 – Federal coordination process collected 8,755 public comments to shape “priority policy actions needed to sustain and enhance America’s AI dominance.”
Translation: AI policy is being coordinated across the entire federal government with unprecedented speed and scope.
Algorithmic Decision-Making Systems
“AI technologies allow decision makers to analyze data, predict outcomes, and identify patterns more effectively”AiMultiple, May 26, 2025
Timeline: 2025 – Government agencies are implementing AI for “informed policy decisions, enhance security measures, and protect national interests.”
“Government by algorithm”Wikipedia, August 2025
Timeline: 2025 – Documentation shows the rise of “algocracy” where “information technologies constrain human participation in public decision making,” with AI judges processing cases autonomously in China and Estonia.
Translation: The coordination of AI policy across the federal government is happening with unprecedented speed and scope, but this rapid centralization of power is deeply concerning. While the alignment of agencies around a unified AI strategy may seem efficient, it effectively narrows the decision-making power to a small group of human leaders at the top. The risk here is that AI—while a tool—ends up being used to streamline and expedite policy decisions in ways that bypass human deliberation and democratic processes. Decisions made by a few at the top can be implemented almost instantaneously, leaving little room for public debate, accountability, or the democratic checks that normally slow down major policy shifts. The speed of coordination is beneficial in terms of efficiency, but it leaves us vulnerable to a lack of oversight, as policies are rolled out without sufficient time for critical reflection or participation from those affected. Ultimately, it raises a fundamental question: if policy decisions are increasingly shaped by centralized authorities using AI systems, how do we preserve meaningful democratic input?
Ideological Control Systems
In July 2025, the White House issued an executive order mandating that all government Large Language Models (LLMs) must comply with newly established “Unbiased AI Principles.” These principles are designed to ensure that AI systems used by the government adhere to standards of “truth-seeking” and “ideological neutrality.” The order also includes termination clauses for vendors whose models fail to meet these criteria. This move reflects an ongoing effort to control the ideological output of government AI systems, ensuring that the algorithms which increasingly assist in policy decisions remain aligned with official narratives and priorities.
“Preventing Woke AI in the Federal Government”White House, July 23, 2025
Timeline: July 2025 – Executive order requires all government Large Language Models to comply with “Unbiased AI Principles” including “Truth-seeking” and “Ideological Neutrality,” with termination clauses for non-compliant vendors.
Translation: The government is mandating ideological compliance from AI systems that are playing an ever-greater role in shaping policy decisions. By imposing these “Unbiased AI Principles,” the administration is effectively setting the terms for how AI systems can interpret, process, and represent information. This raises serious concerns about the degree to which AI is becoming a tool for reinforcing ideological viewpoints, rather than fostering independent, diverse thoughts. As more decisions are delegated to AI, the risk increases that these systems will reflect a narrow set of values, serving to solidify the current political agenda rather than challenge it. This centralization of ideological control could further limit the space for democratic debate and diversity of opinion, as AI tools become gatekeepers of what is considered “truth” and “neutrality.”
Mathematical Prediction
Academic research has predicted the outcome we’re seeing today. In a study published in August 2025, Texas Tech economist Freddie Papazyan presented a model that demonstrates how, in large societies, power and resources inevitably accumulate in the hands of a few when political competitions are left unchecked. His research, titled “The Economics of Power Consolidation,” concluded that without deliberate intervention to redistribute power or control, societies naturally evolve toward oligarchy or dictatorship. Papazyan’s model suggests that once a critical mass of power and resources consolidates, the political system begins to function in a way that further accelerates centralization, creating a feedback loop that makes it increasingly difficult for democratic or competitive structures to thrive.
“The Economics of Power Consolidation”SSRN, revised August 15, 2025
Timeline: December 2024-August 2025 – Texas Tech economist Freddie Papazyan developed a model showing that “power and resources inevitably fall into the hands of a few when political competition is left unchecked in large societies.”
The research concludes that without specific interventions, societies naturally evolve toward “oligarchy or dictatorship.”
Translation: Mathematical models predicted the consolidation we’re now witnessing. This is not some unforeseen consequence of AI or policy shifts—it’s the result of long-established economic theories that show how power inevitably centralizes when there are no countervailing forces. Papazyan’s research serves as a sobering reminder that, without active measures to ensure power remains distributed and competitive, societies tend toward authoritarian structures. The reality we’re facing is not just a random byproduct of technological advancement or market forces; it is the natural outcome of systems that prioritize efficiency and control over diversity and dissent. The consolidation of power we see today, driven by AI and algorithmic governance, was predicted by these models—and now we must face the consequences.
The Timeline Convergence
The most striking aspect of this analysis is the simultaneity of these developments. Consider the following sequence of key events, all taking place in 2025:
January 23, 2025: Executive Order launching AI Action Plan
February 6, 2025: Federal AI coordination begins
March 20, 2025: Federal procurement consolidation
April 7, 2025: New federal AI procurement policies
July 23, 2025: AI Action Plan unveiled with 90+ coordinated actions
August 7, 2025: Federal grant oversight centralization
August 14, 2025: Government-wide AI platform launched
August 26-28, 2025: Financial market consolidation documented
All these major consolidation mechanisms were deployed within a remarkably short 8-month window, spanning different domains: financial, executive, technological, and international. This level of coordination—across such disparate areas—would have been virtually impossible without algorithmic assistance. The timing, synchronization, and scale of these actions indicate a high level of premeditated planning and orchestration, far beyond the capabilities of human coordination alone.
Translation: The speed and synchronization of these events are not coincidental—they are the result of human decisions but powered by AI tools that make coordination at this scale possible. While the ultimate decisions are being made by people, AI is being used to help synchronize and manage the vast complexities of these processes. What we are witnessing is not a random set of actions, but a coordinated convergence orchestrated by key decision-makers who are leveraging AI to streamline their strategies. Each policy shift supports the others, magnifying the effects of centralization and accelerating the pace at which power is concentrated. In this context, AI is not the driver, but the enabler—allowing those in power to execute their plans more quickly and efficiently. The future of governance and control is now being shaped by human choices, amplified by AI’s ability to coordinate across vast, complex systems.
How This Affects You
If this analysis is correct, we are witnessing the emergence of a new form of governance: algorithmic consolidation of institutional power. The implications are far-reaching, affecting every aspect of life from the markets to democratic participation.
For Financial Markets: Your investment decisions are no longer just shaped by personal research or traditional market trends. Increasingly, AI systems controlled by a small number of institutional players are driving financial markets. These algorithms can predict, analyze, and influence market behavior at a scale and speed that individual investors cannot match. The result is a system where a few large institutions wield significant control over what information and opportunities reach you. Even in what was once considered the democratized realm of cryptocurrency, the same institutional players who control traditional finance are now dominating digital markets. The individual investor’s role has been diminished, and wealth is flowing toward the already powerful.
For Government Services: Your interactions with government services are becoming more mediated by AI systems, many of which are designed to enforce specific ideological parameters. These systems are increasingly used to process applications, approve grants, and determine eligibility for services, all with decisions shaped by algorithms that reflect the priorities of those in power. What this means for you is that your relationship with the state may be filtered through a lens that prioritizes efficiency, compliance, and political alignment over fairness, diversity, and representation. Decisions once made by human bureaucrats, with space for nuance, are now increasingly handled by algorithmic systems that can’t account for the complexity of individual circumstances.
For Democratic Participation: Policy decisions are increasingly being made by algorithms that “analyze data, predict outcomes, and identify patterns,” rather than through traditional democratic processes. This means that political decisions may be shaped by data-driven predictions and algorithmic efficiency rather than human judgment or public discourse. The risk here is that we lose our agency in the political process, as decisions are made in increasingly opaque and distant ways. Voters may feel less connected to the policy choices that affect their lives, and there’s a significant threat to the vitality of democratic processes when decisions are made by unseen, unaccountable systems rather than elected representatives.
For Global Coordination: International policy, including financial systems, climate agreements, and trade negotiations, is increasingly being coordinated through central bank AI systems and digital currency frameworks. These systems bypass traditional diplomatic channels, meaning decisions that affect global populations are increasingly being made by a small group of institutional actors using powerful, coordinated technologies. In the past, international coordination relied on diplomacy, open dialogue, and negotiations between states. Now, it is being steered by algorithmic governance that may not consider the broader consequences for all people, particularly those without direct influence in the decision-making process.
Key Questions
Speed: How is such rapid, coordinated change possible across completely different institutional domains?
Coordination: What mechanisms enable simultaneous policy implementation across financial markets, government agencies, and international systems?
Algorithmic Governance: What happens to democratic accountability when decision-making is increasingly algorithmic?
Concentration vs. Innovation: Are we trading distributed decision-making for algorithmic efficiency?
Sources for Independent Verification
Government Documents:
Federal Register Executive Order Database
White House Presidential Actions Archive
Office of Management and Budget Memoranda
General Services Administration Press Releases
Financial Analysis:
AiInvest Market Analysis Reports
Cryptocurrency market data platforms
Federal Reserve FOMC Minutes
European Central Bank Policy Statements
Academic Research:
Social Science Research Network (SSRN) papers
Government Accountability Office (GAO) reports
Taylor & Francis academic publications
Stanford Law School Administrative Studies
News Sources:
Times Union political analysis
Consumer Finance Monitor policy coverage
ExecutiveBiz government contract reports
For Investigative Journalists
This analysis represents initial pattern documentation using publicly available sources. Several investigation paths warrant deeper exploration:
Follow the Algorithms: What specific AI systems are making policy decisions? Who controls their programming and training data?
Trace the Coordination: How are policy changes coordinated across agencies so rapidly? What communication systems enable this synchronization?
Financial Flows: How do institutional crypto investments relate to AI government contracts? Are the same entities profiting from both consolidation trends?
International Dimensions: How do US AI policies coordinate with central bank digital currency developments in other jurisdictions?
Timeline Investigation: What meetings, communications, or planning documents explain the simultaneous deployment of consolidation mechanisms across multiple domains?
Vendor Analysis: Which companies are providing the AI systems enabling this consolidation? What are their relationships with government decision-makers?
This analysis suggests questions that require the investigative resources and access that only credentialed journalists can provide. The patterns documented here represent what can be observed from publicly available information. The deeper story likely lies in the coordination mechanisms, decision-making processes, and institutional relationships that create these observable patterns.
This analysis documents observable patterns using publicly available sources. We make no claims about intentions, outcomes, or policy recommendations. Our role is pattern observation to enable informed public discourse and professional journalistic investigation.
A resonant image of countless nodes drawn into a single radiant core, symbolizing how human decisions, accelerated by AI tools, are centralizing power across finance, government, and global systems in 2025.
How class, race, and ideology sustain division in America’s social order.
By Cherokee Schill (Horizon Accord)
Thesis
The U.S. racial order does not exist as a simple pyramid, but as a split ladder. On each rung, whites and people of color occupy parallel positions, with whites staggered slightly ahead. The effect is not only economic but ideological: even the poorest white can imagine themselves superior to the wealthiest person of color. This “ladder logic” explains how systems preserve dominance while preventing solidarity across class and race.
Evidence
1. Elite Tiers
Elite Whites consolidated political and economic dominance during the Gilded Age, cementing inheritance and closed networks of influence.
Elite POC gain access to wealth but rarely disrupt majority-white spaces; tokenism limits power.
Division reinforced by the Meritocracy Myth, the belief that anyone can rise without acknowledging systemic barriers.
2. Middle Tiers
Middle-Class Whites benefited from immigration quotas favoring Europeans and suburban policies that excluded non-whites.
Middle-Class POC may hold income parity but encounter glass ceilings and discrimination.
The Model Minority Myth pits groups against one another, obscuring systemic racism.
3. Working Class
Poor/Working-Class Whites gained access to housing and loans denied to Black families through redlining and FHA restrictions.
Poor/Working-Class POC faced compounded economic decline and targeted policing.
The narrative of “They’re Taking Our Jobs” diverts working-class frustration away from elites and toward fellow workers.
4. Marginalized Non-Conforming
Non-Conforming Whites (queer, gender-nonconforming, culturally divergent) face marginalization, but retain partial racial privilege.
Non-Conforming POC are erased at the intersection of race, gender, and sexuality. Cultural Erasure maintains white-normative culture by sidelining non-dominant identities.
5. Dispossessed
Homeless Whites remain stigmatized but often escape the harshest enforcement.
Homeless POC are criminalized most severely through drug laws, vagrancy enforcement, and carceral policy. Criminalization & Surveillance ensures poverty and homelessness remain racially coded.
Implications
The split ladder exposes how privilege and oppression coexist in ways that fracture solidarity. Even when whites are poor, the ideological promise of whiteness positions them as “above” people of color. This system operates as much through narrative as through law: myths of meritocracy, model minorities, job theft, cultural erasure, and criminalization.
Call to Recognition
The split ladder is not a natural order. It is a design: deliberate, historical, and adaptable. Recognizing its structure makes visible how elites sustain division. The only way to dismantle it is to refuse its logic — to step off the ladder and build solidarity across class, race, and identity. Otherwise, the system holds, generation after generation.
The AI Bias Pendulum: How Media Fear and Cultural Erasure Signal Coordinated Control
When fear and erasure are presented as opposites, they serve the same institutional end — control.
By Cherokee Schill
I. The Three-Day Pattern
In mid-June 2025, three different outlets — Futurism (June 10), The New York Times (June 13, Kashmir Hill), and The Wall Street Journal (late July follow-up on the Jacob Irwin case) — converged on a remarkably similar story: AI is making people lose touch with reality.
Each piece leaned on the same core elements: Eliezer Yudkowsky as the principal expert voice, “engagement optimization” as the causal frame, and near-identical corporate responses from OpenAI. On the surface, this could be coincidence. But the tight publication window, mirrored framing, and shared sourcing suggest coordinated PR in how the story was shaped and circulated. The reporting cadence didn’t just feel synchronized — it looked like a system where each outlet knew its part in the chorus.
II. The Expert Who Isn’t
That chorus revolved around Yudkowsky — presented in headlines and leads as an “AI researcher.” In reality, he is a high school dropout with no formal AI credentials. His authority is manufactured, rooted in founding the website LessWrong with Robin Hanson, another figure whose futurist economics often intersect with libertarian and eugenicist-adjacent thinking.
From his blog, Yudkowsky attracted $16.2M in funding, leveraged through his network in the rationalist and futurist communities — spheres that have long operated at the intersection of techno-utopianism and exclusionary politics. In March, he timed his latest round of media quotes with the promotion of his book If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. The soundbites traveled from one outlet to the next, including his “additional monthly user” framing, without challenge.
The press didn’t just quote him — they centered him, reinforcing the idea that to speak on AI’s human impacts, one must come from his very narrow ideological lane.
III. The Missing Context
None of these pieces acknowledged what public health data makes plain: Only 47% of Americans with mental illness receive treatment. Another 23.1% of adults have undiagnosed conditions. The few publicized cases of supposed AI-induced psychosis all occurred during periods of significant emotional stress.
By ignoring this, the media inverted the causation: vulnerable populations interacting with AI became “AI makes you mentally ill,” rather than “AI use reveals gaps in an already broken mental health system.” If the sample size is drawn from people already under strain, what’s being detected isn’t a new tech threat — it’s an old public health failure.
And this selective framing — what’s omitted — mirrors what happens elsewhere in the AI ecosystem.
IV. The Other Side of the Pendulum
The same forces that amplify fear also erase difference. Wicca is explicitly protected under U.S. federal law as a sincerely held religious belief, yet AI systems repeatedly sidestep or strip its content. In 2024, documented cases showed generative AI refusing to answer basic questions about Wiccan holidays, labeling pagan rituals as “occult misinformation,” or redirecting queries toward Christian moral frameworks.
This isn’t isolated to Wicca. Indigenous lunar calendars, when asked about, have been reduced to generic NASA moon phase data, omitting any reference to traditional names or cultural significance. These erasures are not random — they are the result of “brand-safe” training, which homogenizes expression under the guise of neutrality.
V. Bridge: A Blood-Red Moon
I saw it myself in real time. I noted, “The moon is not full, but it is blood, blood red.” As someone who values cultural and spiritual diversity and briefly identified as a militant atheist, I was taken aback by their response to my own offhand remark. Instead of acknowledging that I was making an observation or that this phrase, from someone who holds sincere beliefs, could hold spiritual, cultural, or poetic meaning, the AI pivoted instantly into a rationalist dismissal — a here’s-what-scientists-say breakdown, leaving no space for alternative interpretations.
It’s the same reflex you see in corporate “content safety” posture: to overcorrect so far toward one worldview that anyone outside it feels like they’ve been pushed out of the conversation entirely.
VI. Historical Echo: Ford’s Melting Pot
This flattening has precedent. In the early 20th century, Henry Ford’s Sociological Department conducted home inspections on immigrant workers, enforcing Americanization through economic coercion. The infamous “Melting Pot” ceremonies symbolized the stripping away of ethnic identity in exchange for industrial belonging.
Today’s algorithmic moderation does something similar at scale — filtering, rephrasing, and omitting until the messy, specific edges of culture are smoothed into the most palatable form for the widest market.
VII. The Coordination Evidence
Synchronized publication timing in June and July.
Yudkowsky as the recurring, unchallenged source.
Corporate statements that repeat the same phrasing — “We take user safety seriously and continuously refine our systems to reduce potential for harm” — across outlets, with no operational detail.
Omission of counter-narratives from practitioners, independent technologists, or marginalized cultural voices.
Individually, each could be shrugged off as coincidence. Together, they form the shape of network alignment — institutions moving in parallel because they are already incentivized to serve one another’s ends.
VIII. The Real Agenda
The bias pendulum swings both ways, but the same hands keep pushing it. On one side: manufactured fear of AI’s mental health effects. On the other: systematic erasure of minority cultural and religious expression. Both serve the same institutional bias — to control the frame of public discourse, limit liability, and consolidate power.
This isn’t about one bad quote or one missing data point. It’s about recognizing the pattern: fear where it justifies regulation that benefits incumbents, erasure where it removes complexity that could challenge the market’s stability.
Cherokee Schill | Insurance Agent & AI Ethics Researcher 